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Russia to blame for Russian crisis

Falling Russian stock market

The Russian economic crisis unfolding over the last two months is rooted in Russian authorities’ attack on domestic and foreign businesses, as well as in the war in Georgia and subsequent recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhasia, an acknowledged Russian economist says. Since late May, the Russian stock market index has dropped with almost 60 percent.

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Andrey Illarionov, president of the Russian Institute of Economic Analysis, believes Russian authorities are themselves to blame for the recent drastic drop in the Russian stock market. In the period 19 May to 17 September, the index of the Russian stock exchanges has dropped with almost 58 percent. In that period, Russian authorities have twice stopped trading on the MICEX and RTS exchanges and poured massive state funding into the market. Only the rouble crisis of 1998 is comparable with the 2008 events, Mr. Illarionov writes in an article in newspaper Gazeta. Meanwhile, the Russian government says the complicated financial situation in the West is to blame for the crisis. Prime Minister Putin has himself said that the outflow of foreign capital from the country is triggered by “speculation from western companies”. Mr. Illarionov writes that the negative situation on the Russian stock market following the international trend in the period until 17 July when the index dropped 13,1 percent. Then, everything changed on July 18, when Russian authorities gave TNK-BP manager Robert Dudley only a 10-day visa, thus openly intervening in the corporate conflict around the company. Foreign investors subsequently abandoned the country. Then, over the next two months the fall in the Russian stock market dropped a remarkable 51,8 percent, far more than the international markets. In the same period, the U.S. marked dropped 8,5 percent and the global market – 12,4 percent, Illarionov writes. The economist underlines that the Russian crisis is deeply rooted in institutional reasons – in the contradiction between [on the one hand] the open global markets, the process of integration of Russian society in the world system, the tolerance and respect as leading principles of international co-existence and [on the other hand] Russian authorities’ paranoid and aggressive foreign policy and cult of isolation and violence […]